International

ECB Financial Stability Review Warns of Debt Crisis

Financial stability reviews seldom make the headlines, unless the message is a stark one.

Financial stability reviews seldom make the headlines, unless the message is a stark one. That was the case today as the ECB’s financial stability review warned that the eurozone could face a financial crisis due to a variety of issues. The euro has responded to the pessimistic news with sharp losses.

The report noted weak growth, rising public debt and political uncertainty in the eurozone could lead to an economic downturn that would squeeze banks and hurt financial stability. The ECB also warned of the possibility of a potential bubble in stocks connected to AI, which could result in a sharp market correction. The report urged fiscal prudence in order to preserve financial system resilience in the “current uncertain macro-financial environment”.

The European Central Bank meets on Dec. 12, and Governing Council members have differing opinions about the timing of another rate cut. Inflation has been falling, but is the pace fast enough to warrant a rate cut at the December meeting? Some voices have been calling for a jumbo 50-basis point cut in December, while more dovish members want to wait until early next year.

ECB Vice-President Luis de Guindos, speaking after the release of the financial stability review, said it was “crystal clear” that the ECB would continue lowering rates but this had to be done in an “extremely prudent” manner.

U.S. Economy

U.S. Consumer Spending Rises Solidly, Inflation Appears Stuck Above Fed Target

U.S. consumer spending increased slightly more than expected in October, suggesting the economy retained much of its solid growth momentum early in the fourth quarter, but progress on lowering inflation appears to have stalled in recent months.